On 15th May, the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (), has come out with the Monsoon 2020 forecast and it anticipates slight delay in monsoon onset over Kerala.The silent features are given below: Simultaneously, Tropical Cyclone Nisarga formed in the Arabian Sea, off India's west coast. The weather office has forecast for a normal monsoon this year. The country receives over 70 per cent of its annual rainfall from this season between June and September. Office of Director General of Meteorology INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT Mausam Bhawan, Lodhi Road New Delhi - 110003 This year's monsoon began June 1 -- exactly on time -- in the southwest Indian state of Kerala. Photo: Sunil Ghosh/HT Monsoon hits Kerala, two days before onset of 1 June: Skymet 2 min read. The expected onset of Southwest Monsoon 2020 over Kerala on May 28 May 15, 2020 6:30 AM | Skymet Weather Team The onset date of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala this year is expected on 28th May with an error margin of +/- 02 days. There is a high probability (70 per cent) of 2020 monsoon rainfall being above normal to excess (more than 104 per cent of long period average (LPA) — the average of rainfall received over a … This is the first time since the Southwest Monsoon 2020 withdrawal, rainfall is observed over a vast area of the country. Yellow alert for Kerala districts as heavy rain is predicted in isolated areas ... IMD has also revised its prediction on the onset of monsoon. g) Between 28 th April, 2020 and 7 th May, 2020. Earlier in the day, the government announced that the southwest monsoon had arrived in Kerala. The IMD will release details on the onset date on May 15, and an updated forecast detailing region-specific predictions in the last week of May or first week of June 2020 as part of the second stage forecast, Mohapatra said. In April, the IMD had predicted a normal monsoon, which it has reiterated the same on 1 June. Last year the monsoon got a bit late and reached on June 8. (Express Photo By Pavan Khengre) The Southwest monsoon has hit Kerala on Monday morning, making it a timely onset over the southern State for the first time since 2013. Photo: PTI. Initial reports related to Kerala monsoon 2020 forecasts had pegged the date to be June 1, which was later revised. However, northeast region will continue to receive less rainfall this year too: IMD, On a day when the monsoon made its official arrival on Indian mainland, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) had more good news to share. There has been some revision in the dates of arrival of southwest monsoon across various parts of the country, commencing this season (June- September 2020). The monthly rainfall over the whole country is likely to be 103 per cent of the LPA in July and 97 per cent of the LPA in August, with a model error of nine points in this prediction. Over the last two days, Kerala has received widespread rains, and by Monday, 80 per cent of the stations have recorded over 2.5mm of rainfall, thus fulfilling the criteria for announcing the arrival of Monsoon 2020. IMD Director-General Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra told Times Now, "Southwest monsoon has set in over Kerala today, 1st June 2020." Earlier, IMD had forecast the onset of monsoon over Kerala on June 5. The Andaman Sea arrival has been postponed by 02 days (22nd May) as against the earlier date of 20th May. The IMD will release details on the onset date on May 15, and an updated forecast detailing region-specific predictions in the last week of May or first week of June 2020 as part of the second stage forecast, Mohapatra said. Monsoon could also hit Kerala on May 31, a day before its normal onset date, the Weather Company, an IBM venture, said. Photos Of Monsoon in Kerala 2020 (photo credit: Twitter) 6/22. The northeast monsoon rainfall had officially commenced over Kerala on October 28, but heavy spells have been few and far between. Sanjeeb Mukherjee | New Delhi Last Updated at June 1, 2020 13:00 IST The southwest monsoon has arrived over Kerala, marking the start of a four-month long rainfall season, said the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Monday. The IMD earlier this week said that monsoon rains were likely to hit India around June 1. While at the end of the season, the monsoon score was at a little above normal, its time and spatial distribution caused both drought and flood.Â, June, the first monsoon month, was so dry that the country went into a 33 per cent rain deficit by the end of the month. Similarly, farmers can rationalise when to irrigate the fields. May 15, 2020. In 2019, the southwest monsoon was ‘normal’ for Kerala with the State receiving just 13% in excess of the expected rainfall. Kerala: IMD says southwest monsoon onset likely by June 1 High water levels in dams: Kerala HC registers suo motu PIL on judge's letter Kudumbashree's budget hotels feed 40,000 people daily in Kerala Though this prediction is still within the normal range, it is much lower than the 102 per cent predicted for the entire country. The needs of forecasting, too, have evolved. The wettest monsoon ever recorded was in 1964 with 13.84 inches, and the driest was in … State-owned India … July and August are the main rain giving months, when the entire country is covered by the monsoon. Go Back to Article Page. May 15, 2020. The mountains and plains in North India are receiving very good rainfall simultaneously. A lag of 2-3 days thereafter is quite normal for the commencement of weather activity along and off the Kerala-Karnataka coast. There is 41% possibility that the country will receive "normal" rainfall and just 5% possibility of "deficient" rainfall, Rajeevan added. The southwest monsoon has been on schedule in 2020; rainfall was relatively low in south India but more in central states. Meanwhile, private forecaster Skymet announced the monsoon's arrival on May 30. This commences the four-month-long rainfall season, from June to September. (3) Moderate Pre-Monsoon rainfall followed by early setting of SOUTH-WEST MONSOON -2020 is forecast between the second week of May and the first week of June, 2020. WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 2020 Monsoon Outlook Forecasts from the most highly skilled climate forecast models indicate that precipitation in central and northern New Mexico during July, August and September (JAS) 2020 will most likely range from near to slightly below 1981-2010 climatological averages. Representational image | Photo Credit: IANS. The Southwest monsoon arrived in Kerala on Monday as predicted by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) bringing heavy rain to several parts in the … All India Edited by … In a statement on Friday, the IMD set a date of June 5 whereas Skymet, on its website, has forecast May 28. Fishermen have been advised not to venture into the sea. The IMD had, earlier, worried that the rains might arrive a few days behind the schedule, by June 5, though the first forecast had kept June 1 as the date of arrival.Â. According to senior meteorologists at Skymet, The expected onset of Southwest Monsoon 2020 over Kerala on May 28. The onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala has a standard deviation of 7days: means on 99% of the occasions the event occurs between 25th May and 08th June. Monsoon could also hit Kerala on May 31, a day before its normal onset date, the Weather Company, an IBM venture, said. Rainfall between 96 to 104 per cent of the LPA are considered "normal" monsoon. Kerala: IMD says southwest monsoon onset likely by June 1 High water levels in dams: Kerala HC registers suo motu PIL on judge's letter Kudumbashree's budget hotels feed 40,000 people daily in Kerala Monsoon has arrived in Kerala and the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that the normal onset of monsoon has begun with most of Kerala being now covered under monsoon as of 1 June 2020. El Nino usually leads to a poor monsoon, while La Nina brings more rain. Photo: Sunil Ghosh/HT Monsoon hits Kerala, two days before onset of 1 June: Skymet 2 min read. Specific forecasts help city planners and farmers get ready in advance. Now, the forecast of a normal monsoon for the entire season does not mean much, since the rainfall is not evenly distributed and there are several more days of extreme weather, with large lulls in between.Â. However, this should not be considered as part of the monsoon rain for the area," Nair said.Â. May 31, 2020. Loading next story. As per the private forecaster monsoon will arrive in Kerala on May 31, a day before its normal onset date. IMD Forecasts Normal 2020 Monsoon Season Across Country Monsoon is expected to hit Kerala's Thiruvananthapuram on June 1. Weather conditions are "very likely to become favourable from June 1, 2020" for the monsoon onset over Kerala, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said in a statement. The silent features are given below: This year, the onset of southwest monsoon over Kerala is likely to be slightly delayed as compared to normal date of onset of … (Express Photo By Pavan Khengre) The Southwest monsoon has hit Kerala on Monday morning, making it a timely onset over the southern State for the first time since 2013. This year, the IMD has forecast a normal monsoon for the country. Central India is expected to get 103 per cent of the LPA, while the south peninsula is expected to receive 102 per cent of the LPA. It has upscaled its forecast for the south-west monsoon this year, to a 102 per cent of the long-period average (LPA). As per the private forecaster monsoon will arrive in Kerala on May 31, a day before its normal onset date. In its first monsoon forecast on April 15, the IMD had said the monsoon will be 100 per cent of the LPA. While Earth Sciences secretary M. Rajeevan Nair did not take names, he stressed on Monday that the arrival of the monsoon is decided upon by a "range of subjective conditions, and not arbitrary ones." The onset date of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala this year is expected on 28th May with an error margin of +/- 02 days. New Delhi: The southwest monsoon is likely to hit Kerala on June 5, four days behind schedule, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Friday. Last year was a classic example of extreme weather. The onset date over Kerala has no bearing on its further advancement to reach various parts of the country. 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