Advertisement Facebook Twitter LinkedIn. EUR/USD Forecast Ahead of EU Q3 GDP Final Release. Blogger keeps finger on pulse of housing market. But it’s likely that a resurgence in coronavirus cases slowed growth sharply during the last three months of 2020. How things turn out depends largely on the response of economic policymakers and public health authorities—and the nature of that response is changing hourly. document.writeln(""); document.writeln(""); by Calculated Risk on 9/04/2020 12:22:00 PM, CRcounter = CRcounter+1; GDP forecasts trimmed after Q3 data – The Manila Times. document.writeln(""); Written by Crispus Nyaga on Dec 08, 2020, 05:25 GMT. ... How He Got Everything Right And What's Coming Next. Q3 GDP Forecasts From Merrill Lynch: We revise up our 3Q GDP forecast to 27% qoq saar from 15% previously, but take down 4Q to 3.0% qoq saar from 5.0%. 2Q GDP is tracking -31.6% qoq saar. Q3 GDP Forecasts From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 14.3% for 2020:Q3 and 5.3% for 2020:Q4. It is also reacting to the new stimulus package passed by the US congress. From Merrill Lynch: We revise up our 3Q GDP forecast to 27% qoq saar from 15% previously, but take down 4Q to 3.0% qoq saar from 5.0%. Wars are external shocks; so are earthquakes … and diseases. [Oct 1 estimate] It is important to note that GDP is reported at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). The slight disappointment in Q3 leads us to nudge down our forecast for overall GDP growth in 2020 to 2%, from 2.3%. The revised growth forecasts for Q3 and Q4 are 0.1% and 2% respectively,” the NCAER said in its mid-year economic review. Ok, not as YUGE as Q3 GDP … U.S. GDP accelerated at a 33.1% annualized pace in the third quarter, the Commerce Department reported. “Despite higher-than-expected GDP growth in Q3, we maintain our forecast of -6.3% y-o-y for full-year 2020, which is still below BNM's latest forecasts of -3.5% to -5.5% and the government’s -4.5%. The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 15.6% for 2020:Q3 and 7.3% for 2020:Q4. document.writeln("